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I'm seeking a detailed analysis of U.S. M&A announcement returns and how stock market reactions differ during presidential and midterm election periods from 2010 to 2025. Key Requirements: - Utilize an event study approach. - Analyze all publicly available U.S. companies. - Incorporate historical stock prices and market indices data. - Address survivorship bias. - Employ robust data methods. Ideal Skills and Experience: - Strong background in finance and economics. - Proficiency in statistical analysis and event study methodology. - Experience with large datasets and data integrity. - Familiarity with U.S. stock markets and election impacts on financial markets. - Advanced skills in data analysis R studio.
Project ID: 40411015
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32 freelancers are bidding on average €386 EUR for this job

Ladies and gentlemen, let me tell you why I am the ideal candidate to shape your M&A return analysis during election periods. My name is Shivam, a seasoned Data Scientist and Machine Learning expert with a stellar track record of happy clients like yourself. While adhering to your key requirements, I will bring deep insight and an event study approach to your project using my strong experience in finance and economics. Over the past 5+ years, I have extensively dealt with large datasets and valuable seasoned them with my statistical expertise. With this hands-on experience, incorporating historical stock prices, analyzing publicly available US companies, and even addressing survivorship bias won't be an issue. You can rely on me to employ robust data methods synonymous with best-practices.
€500 EUR in 7 days
7.6
7.6

Event study methodology demands precise handling of abnormal return calculations across election cycles—a technical challenge amplified by survivorship bias and the need for robust statistical inference across 15 years of market data. This analysis requires rigorous event window specification, market model estimation, and control for confounding macroeconomic factors during politically volatile periods. The M&A Returns Analysis During Election Periods project aligns with established financial econometrics practices. R Studio execution ensures reproducible workflows for handling large datasets, computing cumulative abnormal returns, and conducting significance testing. Statistical methods will include cross-sectional regression analysis, time-series adjustments for heteroskedasticity, and sensitivity testing across alternative event windows and market index specifications. Deliverables include cleaned datasets with documented data lineage, event study results with parametric and non-parametric tests, and explicit treatment of survivorship bias through appropriate weighting mechanisms. All analysis will be reproducible with commented R code and a detailed technical report outlining methodology, assumptions, and limitations. Ready to begin data acquisition and preliminary analysis immediately.
€250 EUR in 1 day
7.0
7.0

Hello, I have thoroughly reviewed the project requirements for the detailed analysis of U.S. M&A announcement returns during election periods from 2010 to 2025. Let's chat and discuss it further. To handle your project, I will start with conducting an event study approach using historical stock prices and market indices data of all publicly available U.S. companies. I will ensure to address survivorship bias and employ robust data methods throughout the analysis. The deliverables of this project will include a comprehensive report outlining the differences in stock market reactions during presidential and midterm election periods for M&A announcements. Before signing-off my bid, I would like to ask a question, i.e., how would you prefer the results of the analysis to be presented? Best Regards, Aneesa.
€250 EUR in 1 day
6.8
6.8

Hello, I have expertise in statistical analysis R and stata. Please share data to review the project details. Samples of my work will be shared upon request.
€500 EUR in 7 days
6.6
6.6

⭐⭐⭐⭐⭐ M&A Returns Analysis During Election Periods ❇️ Hello. I have carefully reviewed your requirements for the project on analyzing the impact of U.S. presidential and midterm elections on M&A announcement returns. With my extensive background in finance and economics, coupled with advanced proficiency in statistical analysis, I am uniquely qualified to deliver a comprehensive analysis that aligns with your specifications from 2010 to 2025. ➡️ Why Me? I hold a PhD in Finance and have over a decade of experience in financial research, focusing on market dynamics during election cycles. My expertise is deeply rooted in event study methodologies, which is critical for this project. Additionally, I have handled numerous projects analyzing large datasets with an emphasis on maintaining data integrity and addressing issues such as survivorship bias. ➡️ My approach will include: - Utilizing R studio for robust data analysis and to ensure precise results. - Employing advanced statistical techniques to dissect the variances in stock market reactions during different election periods. - Integrating comprehensive historical data of U.S. stock prices and market indices, ensuring all publicly traded companies are included. ➡️ Lets schedule a time to discuss this project further. I am eager to bring my knowledge to your project and provide insights that are not only comprehensive but also actionable and strategic. ➡️ Some of my similar work: ✅ Economic impacts of regulatory changes on financial markets ✅ Longitudinal analysis of stock performance pre and post-economic reforms ✅ Sector-wise market behavior analysis during fiscal adjustments ✅ Predictive analytics on stock trends using macroeconomic indicators Looking forward to your response and excited about the possibility of contributing to your project. Best Regards, Dr. Muhammad Asad
€562 EUR in 7 days
6.1
6.1

I am an expert statistician, Research Writer, and data analyst with more than eight years of experience. I have full command of Excel analysis, SPSS, STATA, R LANGUAGE, AND PYTHON. I am an expert in creating time series prediction models, working with survey data, conducting marketing analysis, building estimators, and medical analysis. I am a perfect match for your project share other details of the work so I can start working on your project. Will complete task on time.
€250 EUR in 1 day
5.6
5.6

Hello, I trust you're doing well. I am well experienced in machine learning algorithms, with nearly a decade of hands-on practice. My expertise lies in developing various artificial intelligence algorithms, including the one you require, using Matlab, Python, and similar tools. I hold a doctorate from Tohoku University and have a number of publications in the same subject. My portfolio, which showcases my past work, is available for your review. Your project piqued my interest, and I would be delighted to be part of it. Let's connect to discuss in detail. Warm regards. please check my portfolio link: https://www.freelancer.com/u/sajjadtaghvaeifr
€500 EUR in 7 days
5.5
5.5

As a seasoned Data Scientist and Statistical Analyst, I have the ideal skill-set you need for your M&A Returns Analysis project. My proficiency in statistical analysis and event study methodology, coupled with my experience in handling large datasets, makes me the best fit for your project. In summary, I bring to the table a strong background in finance and economics, hands-on expertise with large dataset manipulation, and deep familiarity with the statistical methods required for event studies. By hiring me, you're guaranteeing a meticulous and comprehensive analysis that not only meets but exceeds your expectations. Let's connect and discuss how I can transform your complex M&A data into actionable insights for strategic decision-making!
€300 EUR in 7 days
5.3
5.3

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€250 EUR in 1 day
4.8
4.8

Hello, I will conduct a rigorous event-study analysis of U.S. M&A announcement returns (2010–2025) to evaluate how abnormal returns differ across presidential vs. midterm election periods. The study will apply market-model and factor-model adjustments (CAPM/Fama-French) to ensure robust estimation of cumulative abnormal returns (CARs) around announcement windows. The dataset will be constructed from publicly available U.S. listed firms, incorporating historical stock prices, CRSP-like structure assumptions, and market indices. I will explicitly address survivorship bias by including delisted firms and adjusting return series accordingly. Event windows (e.g., [-1,+1], [-5,+5], [-10,+10]) will be tested for robustness, and cross-sectional regressions will identify whether election timing significantly moderates M&A market reactions. All analysis will be implemented in R Studio using reproducible scripts, including data cleaning, event-study estimation, robustness checks, and statistical inference with heteroskedasticity-robust errors. Outputs will include tables, plots of CAR distributions, and clear interpretation of election-cycle effects on deal value creation. Q1: Do you prefer Fama-French 3-factor only, or inclusion of momentum (FF5) as well? Q2: Should results be segmented by deal characteristics (size, industry, domestic vs cross-border)? Thanks, Asif
€750 EUR in 11 days
4.9
4.9

Hi there, I understand you need a rigorous event study analysis of U.S. M&A announcement returns, with a clear comparison of market reactions across presidential and midterm election periods from 2010 to 2025, ensuring robust methodology and unbiased results. My approach will involve building a clean dataset of M&A announcements for publicly listed U.S. firms, merging it with historical stock prices and benchmark indices. I will implement a standard event study framework in R using models such as market-adjusted and CAPM to compute abnormal returns across multiple event windows. Election period segmentation will be applied to compare return behavior, while addressing survivorship bias through comprehensive inclusion of delisted firms and validated datasets. I will also run robustness checks and statistical tests to ensure reliability of findings. Deliverable: Clean dataset, R scripts, and a structured report with results, interpretation, and visualizations. QUESTION: Do you have a preferred data source like CRSP or should I source and structure the dataset independently? I have worked on similar financial event studies requiring strong statistical rigor and reproducibility. Let’s get started and build a defensible, publication-quality analysis. Regards, Shehwani
€250 EUR in 2 days
4.9
4.9

Hello Employer, This is SubhasIs M, and I submit my proposal here for the project titled: 'M&A Returns Analysis During Election Periods'. I understand that you are seeking a detailed analysis of U.S. M&A announcement returns and how stock market reactions differ during presidential and midterm election periods from 2010 to 2025. As a professional research analyst and knowledgeable person in this area I must assist you in giving a detail paper on this topic. I have very strong background in finance and economics. A professional and result centric approach will be followed here for your project. Rest assured you will have a great experience working with me as a professional and experienced person! Thanking you, Sincerely, Subhasis
€300 EUR in 3 days
4.7
4.7

Your focus on M&A announcement returns during U.S. election cycles is a compelling quantitative challenge that mirrors my previous work in event-study analysis and financial econometrics. I have extensive experience modeling Cumulative Abnormal Returns (CAR) for large-cap transactions, specifically investigating how political uncertainty and potential regulatory shifts influence investor sentiment and deal premiums. By analyzing the delta between expected and actual market reactions through various historical volatility regimes, I can provide a robust, data-driven perspective on how election-year dynamics distort traditional valuation benchmarks. My technical approach centers on a rigorous statistical pipeline using Python to ensure data integrity and significance. I will utilize the Fama-French Three-Factor Model to isolate market-wide noise, calculating CAR over defined event windows—typically [-1, +1] or [-5, +5] days—to capture the full scope of the market's reaction. I will perform cross-sectional regressions to control for deal-specific variables such as transaction size, payment structure, and target industry, using T-tests to determine if the variance in returns during election periods is statistically significant compared to neutral years. The final output will include detailed distribution plots and time-series heatmaps to visualize return distributions across different political cycles. Are you planning to focus exclusively on Presidential election years, or should we include Midterm cycles to increase the sample size? Additionally, would you like the analysis to distinguish between party-change scenarios to see if specific outcomes correlate with higher premiums? I am available for a brief chat to align on the methodology and the specific data visualizations you require for your deliverables.
€545 EUR in 21 days
3.9
3.9

With my 8+ years of experience in data analytics, I am your ideal candidate for this project. You need someone who knows the significance of an event study approach, has hands-on experience with large datasets (such as publicly available U.S. companies), and understands the complexities of data integrity - that's what I bring to the table. My background in finance and economics perfectly situates me to study M&A announcement returns during election periods. In terms of technical proficiency, my skill set covers everything from statistical analysis to programming with R, which is essential for this project. Moreover, with my advanced skills in data analysis using R Studio, you can be assured that I will extract deep insights while eliminating survivorship bias effectively. Not only this, I have a deep understanding of how events such as presidential and midterm elections impact financial markets, which will play a crucial role in interpreting the findings. I want to emphasize that my aim is not just to provide you with technical analytical outputs but also deliver research-backed actionable insights for your business decision-making. I've consistently exceeded clients' expectations across a variety of domains. So let's leverage my skills and turn your complex dataset into clear-cut strategic guidance - unlocking the full potential your data holds during electoral times!
€500 EUR in 7 days
3.8
3.8

As a seasoned professional proficient in R Studio and skilled in incorporating large datasets using robust data methods, I believe I'm the perfect fit for your project. My background in finance and economics coupled with my advanced statistical analysis skills have prepared me to conduct comprehensive research on U.S. M&A announcement returns during election periods. To ensure data integrity and address survivorship bias, I'll employ my expertise in event study methodology while considering all publicly available U.S. companies. Having a deep understanding of U.S. stock markets and election impacts on financial markets, I guarantee a comprehensive analysis that delivers insightful results. Speed and quality are my hallmarks, both of which are strongly reflected in my services history. In addition to my data crunching skills, I am also an effective communicator experienced in report writing, ensuring that key findings are clearly conveyed. Make the decision today to leverage my expertise; let's uncover the hidden patterns behind M&A returns during election periods!
€500 EUR in 1 day
3.9
3.9

With my extensive 14-year background in data analysis, I possess the essential skills and experience needed to execute your project successfully. Over the years, I have developed a commendable expertise in statistical analysis and event study methodology which, coupled with my proficiency in R Studio, make me ideally suited to your project’s requirements. Furthermore, my familiarity with U.S. stock markets and election impacts on financial markets allows me to bring a unique standpoint to this project that no one else can match. In addition to my quantitative capabilities, I am well-versed in managing large datasets while ensuring robustness and data integrity. The skill of addressing survivorship bias, especially important when analyzing historical returns, is a distinct forte of mine. I comprehend the intricacies associated with M&A announcement returns and stock market reactions during election periods, and I pledge to apply my expertise conscientiously to yield accurate results. Lastly, conducting in-depth research comes naturally to me due to my academic and professional background. I assure you that my work will be thorough, evidence-based, and tailored precisely to your project's needs. By choosing me as your freelancer for this assignment, you are not only investing in someone who is capable but also someone who is dedicated to adding value through timely delivery of high-quality work. Thank you for considering my candidacy for this lucrative opportunity!
€250 EUR in 7 days
2.9
2.9

InstantQuality─── ⋆⋅☆⋅⋆ ── I am a specialized Master's degree holder equipped to tackle writing across various subjects. My commitment to work is unwavering, ensuring TOP RATED EXPERT delivers consistent and high-quality writing while strictly adhering to copyright regulations. With extensive experience in the industry since 2013, I am a seasoned professional. Client satisfaction is paramount, and I am open to multiple revisions until your contentment is achieved. Access to ample journals aids in comprehensive research projects. Despite low budget constraints, I take pride in offering quality work at very reasonable rates. Specializing in various writing tasks such as ARTICLE WRITING, REPORT WRITING, ESSAY WRITING, RESEARCH PAPERS, BUSINESS PLAN, TECHNICAL WRITING, MATLAB, THESIS, ACCOUNTING & FINANCE, etc. visit my profile page to check my rating and reviews. https://www.freelancer.com/u/expertschain Thanks :)
€250 EUR in 1 day
1.8
1.8

Hello, With over 5 years of experience in Data Analysis and Financial Analysis, I specialize in delivering precise insights tailored to specific project requirements. I have thoroughly understood your need for a detailed analysis of U.S. M&A announcement returns during election periods from 2010 to 2025. Having completed over 150 data-centric projects, I excel in ensuring data integrity and enhancing workflow efficiency. My expertise includes Advanced Excel & Google Sheets Engineering, VBA & Macro Automation, Business Intelligence (Power BI), Web Scraping & Data Extraction, as well as data cleansing and management. You can view my portfolio at https://www.freelancer.pk/u/Musab360 I would love to discuss your project further in chat to provide a professional solution. Best regards, Musab
€250 EUR in 1 day
1.4
1.4

I will conduct a rigorous event study of U.S. M&A announcement returns (2010–2025) using R, applying market model/CAPM/Fama-French benchmarks. I’ll source CRSP/Compustat data, align events with presidential and midterm election windows, and control for survivorship bias via delisted returns. Abnormal returns (AR/CAR) will be computed with robust standard errors and bootstrapping. I’ll segment results by deal/firm characteristics and election phases, delivering reproducible code, validated datasets, and statistically sound inference. Victoria Behei
€300 EUR in 7 days
0.0
0.0

Hi, I went through your project and honestly, it’s a really interesting one—especially the angle of comparing M&A returns during presidential vs midterm elections. I come from a finance background and have worked with data analysis and research projects, so I’m comfortable handling event study methodology and large datasets. For this, I’d approach it in a structured but practical way: Use an event study framework to calculate abnormal returns (AR/CAR) Collect M&A announcement data along with stock prices and market index data (2010–2025) Compare how markets react during different election periods Make sure issues like survivorship bias are properly handled Back everything with solid statistical testing so the results actually mean something I usually work with tools like R/Python for analysis, and I focus a lot on keeping the data clean and the outputs easy to understand (charts, tables, clear explanations). You won’t just get numbers—you’ll get insights that actually explain what’s going on. I can deliver this within your timeline, and I’m open to adjusting things based on how deep you want the analysis to go. Let me know if you’d like me to start or if you want to discuss anything first.
€450 EUR in 5 days
0.0
0.0

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