# Forecast sales with intermittent demand and zero values

You must have done a similar project and be able to demonstrate this.

We have sales data for thousands of customers.

Some customers spend every day, some once per year.

We want to forecast weekly sales.

Some customers will have 0 sales in weeks. this is valid. this does not mean we do not have data, it means the customer does not buy every week.

We wish to re-forecast every customer on a schedule (e.g. weekly) and on demand.

The only data we have available is sales transactions, for example:

Date | Customer | Product | Amount | Quantity

We can feature engineer this data to show sales in any period and by features such as:

a) spent in last 7 days

b) spent in last 8-14 days

c) spent in last 15-21 days etc.

d) total unique spending days

e) days since last spend

f) days between spend (average, std dev, etc)

g) total unique products purchased

h) time 'chunks' of 7 days, 30 days, 365 days, calendar weeks, months, whatever, etc

g) overall propensity to spend (e.g. 18% of customers spend 3-5 times and this customer has spent x times)

You can feature engineer anything you like, or if you tell us what you want, we can do it to prepare the data.

What we cannot do is provide more data on the customer to assist the forecast. We only know the customer number, days on which they spent, amounts they spent, and quantities purchased.

The challenge we see is there is lots of sparsity in the data.

For every customer, the questions we wish to answer are:

1) will this customer spend again in the next 365 days (yes or no)

2) what is the probability score of this customer spending again in the next 365 days

3) what is the amount this customer will spend in the next 365 days

4) what is the probability score of this customer spending the 365-day forecasted amount in the next 365 days

5) will this customer spend again in the next 7 days (yes or no)

6) what is the probability score of this customer spending again in the next 7 days

7) what is the amount this customer will spend in the next 7 days

8) what is the probability score of this customer spending the 7-day forecasted amount in the next 7 days

If you can assist in answering all the questions with the available data let's talk.

Budget. Talk sensibly about the project and we can establish a budget acceptable to both of us. But we need to see experience with the problem and early prototype results to work together.

Tentang Majikan:
( 0 ulasan ) Australia

ID Projek: #16284463

## 23 pekerja bebas membida secara purata \$60/jam untuk pekerjaan ini

suyashdhoot

Hi I am a very experienced statistician and business analyst. I have completed several PhD level thesis projects involving advanced statistical analysis of data. I have worked with data from several companies and have Lagi

\$100 AUD / jam
(99 Ulasan)
6.7

Hello sir. As a machine learning expert, I'm glad to see your project. In fact, Your project is in my major. I have deep knowledge in machine learning. I will wait you with your good news. Answer 1) yes 2)0.1% Lagi

\$55 AUD / jam
(61 Ulasan)
6.5
anashcisoft

Hi I have 10 years experience in data analysis, machine learning, forecasting, and data mining. I have worked on a number of similar project such as forecasting the required heating for the next month (today+30 days) Lagi

\$55 AUD / jam
(11 Ulasan)
6.0
dinhfreedom

Dear sir. Your project attracted my attention at first glance, because I've really rich experience in Machine Learning & Forecasting. I'm really confident about your project, and very eager to join your project. If Lagi

\$50 AUD / jam
(36 Ulasan)
5.8
chumkibhowmick

If you are looking for top notch work then hire me. Can assure high quality work is delivered to your satisfaction. I am PG in Business Analytics and Business Intelligence from Premier B School certified by Illinos Tec Lagi

\$55 AUD / jam
(3 Ulasan)
3.7
DemonDeveloper

i am machine learning developer so no one can do it better than me....................................................................

\$55 AUD / jam
(12 Ulasan)
3.5
general985

Hello sir. I'm excited about your project, because I've really rich experience in Forecasting Programming. I've developed many projects similar to yours and excellent skills. If you award me, I'll provide wonderful Lagi

\$50 AUD / jam
(10 Ulasan)
2.2
priyal1997

Dear Sir/Madam, I can do this task perfectly for you. I am and expert in advanced excel skills and have a strong financial background. Moreover, have already done lots of similar customized excel template for differen Lagi

\$50 AUD / jam
(11 Ulasan)
1.6
Genya127

Dear, client. This letter is to express my interest in your job posting for an experienced, detail-oriented, full stack developer. With 5 years of hands-on experience efficiently coding websites and hybrid apps. I Lagi

\$55 AUD / jam
(3 Ulasan)
0.0

Dear Madam or Sir, herewith I would like to make a proposal to become a member of your team participating into Statistical Analysis and Reports demanded. Shortly about myself: • International Master Degree in Lagi

\$77 AUD / jam
(0 Ulasan)
0.0
GeoffreyTransom

I've got 20 years' experience in econometric, financial and demographic modelling, including probabilistic forecasting. I've done plenty of limited-dependent variable estimation, too - which is relevant, since the depe Lagi

\$72 AUD / jam
(0 Ulasan)
0.0
sangameshks

Hey, I'm interested in your project. Please send me a message so that we can discuss more.

\$50 AUD / jam
(1 Ulasan)
0.0
vorasiddh4it

View my last projects based on Data Mining, Machine Learning, Artificial Intelligence, python, java and I can complete your project perfectly. www.freelancer.com/u/vorasiddh4it#/reviews We have 10+ years experience Lagi

\$50 AUD / jam
(7 Ulasan)
0.0

I have done a project on time series. So I feel i can do this and provide you the solution for your requirement. Looking forward to have a conversation with you.

\$55 AUD / jam
(0 Ulasan)
0.0
whitehorsetechn

Greeting, I have understood your Forecast sales with intermittent demand and zero values task and can do it with your 100% satisfaction. Please ping me for more discussion. I have more than 5 years of experience Lagi

\$50 AUD / jam
(0 Ulasan)
0.0
nkoutroumpinis

Hey there, My name is Nick, i am working as a professional data scientist with lots of experience on machine learning and deep learning techniques mostly focused on Time series forecasting and sentiment analysis, you Lagi

\$66 AUD / jam
(10 Ulasan)
0.0
\$55 AUD / jam
(1 Ulasan)
0.0
shivampanchal

I have a good hands on working with Advanced Excel, R and Python and BI tools and technologies, AI, Big Data. I have quite a good knowledge of DL/ML Algorithm , have also developed Dashboards and Web Application. My ar Lagi

\$50 AUD / jam
(69 Ulasan)
0.0
\$50 AUD / jam
(15 Ulasan)
0.0
swanprogrammer

Hello, I am full-time freelancer, I have gone through your project description I can do it. I am a Software developer with having a good knowledge and experience with Python,R programming,Machine learning . I am Mas Lagi

\$50 AUD / jam
(0 Ulasan)
0.0